Pegasus-Global Insights
A collection of articles covering our collective thoughts and experiences in the world of large and complex infrastructure projects.
Addressing Over-Optimism on Megaprojects
Research on megaprojects has shown that initial cost and schedule estimates for megaprojects are often overly optimistic and driven by incentives to support project approval rather than project accuracy. This over-optimism leaves the project exposed to increased likelihood for significant cost and schedule increases, particularly for megaprojects with large first-of-a-kind aspects.
First-of-a-kind Megaproject Challenges & Best Practices
First-of-a-Kind (FOAK) megaprojects represent the large first-ever construction of facilities with unique aspects and face unique risks not seen in typical projects that have been built numerous times. Because they involve aspects that have never been done before such as new unproven technology, new commercial models, novel engineering methods, and unfamiliar risk profiles, they inherently carry a level of uncertainty and complexity far beyond that of convention infrastructure projects, which typically rely on proven designs, engineering and execution models.
What the Class of Estimate is Telling You
Within the construction industry, use of AACE’s classification of cost estimates is fairly widespread, particularly for estimates supporting project authorization. However, this common application of the estimate classification system runs the risk of misinterpretation by project stakeholders into what the class of estimate is really telling them. Within this article, we examine the nature and characteristics of AACE’s estimate classification system including what each estimate class is typically used to support and how to interpret the expected accuracy range of the estimate.
Regulatory Approval of Electric Utility Projects Before Full Project Definition
Within this article, we review the common project approval process for regulated electric utilities, including what information typically supports the project’s application to its regulator, the limitations of that information and risks associated with that limited project definition. Examples of such risks are demonstrated through the real-world experience on two novel, first-of-a-kind projects, which includes discussion on how the respective Commissions for the utilities sponsoring these projects addressed these risks.
Inevitability of Change - and How to Prepare for It
On any capital construction project, change is not just a possibility, it is inevitable. On a megaproject, the scale and complexity of the project creates an environment where change is pervasive. The question project leaders must answer is not whether change will occur, but whether the organization is equipped to identify, evaluate, authorize, and integrate change in a controlled and transparent manner.
Demonstrating Prudent Project Management
Within the regulated utility industry, prudence reviews represent a commonly applied process by the regulator to ensure the utility’s project management decisions and actions were reasonable and in alignment with standard industry practices. This allows the regulator to have an informed view on whether the costs associated with the project in question were also reasonable and necessary and thus appropriate to be recoverable through rates or tariffs, protecting customers from bearing costs of unreasonable decisions.
Independent Monitoring
Independent monitoring involves the use of outside experts to collect, measure, and assess the health of a major project/program, commonly applied in the utility and infrastructure industries. In some respects, it is synonymous with the work performed by an “expert review panel” or a “technical advisory committee.” The overall objective is to provide the sponsor and key stakeholders with recurring and objective feedback on the progress of achieving the intended results of the project/program throughout its execution.
Reintroducing Megaprojects
Megaprojects are well-known throughout the world and represent a wide range of scopes executed under a variety of strategic management practices. Within this article, we review the common characteristics that define megaprojects, introduce the gigaproject class of megaprojects, review issues and challenges often encountered on these large and unique projects, and provide recommended practices to support successful megaproject delivery.
